polyrag

Philippine presidential election winner? — Leni Robredo

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $1.6k traded · market at 10%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Philippine presidential election winner? — Leni Robredo 0.099 0.110 10% 2029-05-31 $1.6k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.