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Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? — Richard Marles

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $5 traded · market at 5.0%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? — Richard Marles 0.010 0.090 5.0% 2029-09-23 $5

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.