Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? — Alaska
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $1.6k traded · market at 10%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? — Alaska | 0.090 | 0.120 | 10% | 2027-01-03 | $1.6k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Iowa Secretary of State — https://sos.iowa.gov/iowans/election-results-statistics
- Alaska Division of Elections — https://www.elections.alaska.gov/
- South Carolina State Election Commission — https://scvotes.gov/elections-statistics/election-results/
- Georgia Secretary of State — https://results.sos.ga.gov/
- Michigan Secretary of State — https://www.michigan.gov/sos
- Louisiana Secretary of State — https://www.sos.la.gov/
- Texas Secretary of State — https://www.sos.texas.gov/elections/laws/2026-november-gener
- Mississippi Secretary of State — https://www.sos.ms.gov/elections-voting
- Federal Election Commission — https://www.fec.gov
- the Florida Division of Elections — https://dos.fl.gov/elections/
- Kansas Secretary of State — https://sos.ks.gov/elections/election-results.html
- Ohio Secretary of State — https://www.ohiosos.gov/elections/election-results-and-data/
- North Carolina State Board of Elections — https://www.ncsbe.gov/results-data/election-results
- New Hampshire Secretary of State — https://www.sos.nh.gov/elections
- Montana Secretary of State — https://electionresults.mt.gov/
- Minnesota Secretary of State — https://www.sos.mn.gov/elections-voting/election-results/
- Virginia Department of Elections — https://www.elections.virginia.gov/
- Nebraska Secretary of State — https://sos.nebraska.gov/elections
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.