S&P price on Oct 12, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 7,740 or above
kalshi · 3 contracts · 3 deadlines · $0 traded · market at 98%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | S&P price on Oct 12, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 7,740 or above | 0.960 | 0.990 | 98% | 2026-10-12 | — |
| kalshi | S&P price on Oct 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 7,740 or above | 0.970 | 0.990 | 98% | 2026-10-13 | — |
| kalshi | S&P price on Oct 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 7,740 or above | 0.880 | 0.980 | 93% | 2026-10-14 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- For example, Google Finance — https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en