Sapporo mayoral election winner? — Yu Arai
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $0 traded · market at 43%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Sapporo mayoral election winner? — Yu Arai | 0.390 | 0.470 | 43% | 2028-04-10 | — |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Sapporo City Election Administration Commission — https://www.city.sapporo.jp/senkan/index.html