polyrag

Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury? — Before Apr 1, 2027

kalshi · 7 contracts · 7 deadlines · $16 traded

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury? — Before Apr 1, 20 0.010 0.990 50% 2027-04-01 $14
kalshi Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury? — Before Jan 1, 20 0.010 0.900 46% 2027-01-01 $2
kalshi Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury? — Before Jul 1, 20 0.010 0.990 50% 2027-07-01 —
kalshi Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury? — Before Oct 1, 20 0.010 0.990 50% 2027-10-01 —
kalshi Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury? — Before Jan 1, 20 0.010 0.990 50% 2028-01-01 —
kalshi Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury? — Before Jul 1, 20 0.010 0.990 50% 2028-07-01 —
kalshi Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury? — Before Jan 1, 20 0.010 0.990 50% 2029-01-01 —

Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

Recent activity