September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.3% or above
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2.9k traded · market at 38%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0. | 0.350 | 0.390 | 37% | 2026-10-14 | $2.6k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Labor Statistics — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
- Bureau of Labor Statistics — https://www.bls.gov/cpi/ CPI, Employment Situation — public API
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors — https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars. rates and series — FRED public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.