Spanish general election: margin of victory — People's Party, 9-12%
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $103 traded · market at 7.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Spanish general election: margin of victory — People's Party, 9-12% | 0.060 | 0.090 | 7.5% | 2027-11-29 | $66 |
| kalshi | Spanish general election: margin of victory — People's Party, ≥12% | 0.010 | 0.020 | 1.5% | 2027-11-29 | $38 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Ministerio del Interior — https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/
- Junta Electoral Central — https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/