Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · 5 contracts · 4 deadlines · $5 traded · market at 60%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2027 | 0.550 | 0.650 | 60% | 2027-01-01 | $4 |
| kalshi | Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense? — Before Nov 1, 2026 | 0.100 | 0.180 | 14% | 2026-11-01 | $0 |
| kalshi | Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense? — Before Oct 1, 2026 | — | — | 0% | 2026-10-01 | — |
| kalshi | Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense? — Before Dec 1, 2026 | 0.370 | 0.460 | 42% | 2026-12-01 | — |
| kalshi | Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense? — Before Jul 1, 2027 | 0.640 | 0.740 | 69% | 2027-07-01 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- the New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com
- ABC — https://abcnews.go.com/
- the White House — https://www.whitehouse.gov/
- MSNBC — https://www.msnbc.com
- The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
- U.S. Department of Defense — https://www.defense.gov/
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
- Axios — https://www.axios.com
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/
- NBC — https://www.nbcnews.com/
- The Information — https://www.theinformation.com/
- Semafor — https://semafor.com
- Politico — https://www.politico.com
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
- CBS — https://www.cbsnews.com/
- Bloomberg News — https://www.bloomberg.com/news
Recent activity
- price move 1d ago +0.190