polyrag

Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Texas, Alaska, Ohio

kalshi · 4 contracts · 1 deadline · $3.5k traded · market at 20%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Texas, Alaska, Ohio 0.190 0.200 20% 2027-11-03 $1.9k
kalshi Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Texas, Alaska 0.094 0.096 9.5% 2027-11-03 $1.3k
kalshi Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Alaska, Ohio 0.061 0.066 6.3% 2027-11-03 $208
kalshi Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Texas, Ohio 0.014 0.026 2.0% 2027-11-03 $46

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.