U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $24.1k traded · market at 50%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter? | 0.480 | 0.520 | 50% | 2027-03-04 | $24.1k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm