Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? — Exactly 4.5%
kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $8 traded · market at 2.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? — Exactly 4.5% | 0.010 | 0.030 | 2.0% | 2026-11-06 | $8 |
| kalshi | Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? — Exactly 5.4% | — | 0.050 | 0% | 2026-11-06 | — |
| kalshi | Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? — Exactly 5.5% | — | 0.050 | 0% | 2026-11-06 | — |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.