United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -5.5% of GDP
kalshi · 5 contracts · 1 deadline · $33.2k traded · market at 91%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -5.5% of GDP | 0.900 | 0.920 | 91% | 2027-04-20 | $13.3k |
| kalshi | United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -5.0% of GDP | 0.800 | 0.830 | 82% | 2027-04-20 | $11.0k |
| kalshi | United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -4.5% of GDP | 0.670 | 0.710 | 69% | 2027-04-20 | $7.5k |
| kalshi | United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -3.5% of GDP | 0.180 | 0.210 | 20% | 2027-04-20 | $1.4k |
| kalshi | United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -2.5% of GDP | 0.010 | 0.060 | 3.5% | 2027-04-20 | $27 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- International Monetary Fund — https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.RES:WEO
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.