US nominal GDP growth in 2026 — Above 4.5%
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $448 traded · market at 94%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | US nominal GDP growth in 2026 — Above 4.5% | 0.900 | 0.990 | 94% | 2027-01-28 | $392 |
| kalshi | US nominal GDP growth in 2026 — Above 5.5% | 0.790 | 0.890 | 84% | 2027-01-28 | $56 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.