polyrag

US nominal GDP growth in 2033 — Above 0.0%

kalshi · 8 contracts · 1 deadline · $0 traded · market at 95%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi US nominal GDP growth in 2033 — Above 0.0% 0.910 0.990 95% 2034-01-28 —
kalshi US nominal GDP growth in 2033 — Above 0.5% 0.870 0.970 92% 2034-01-28 —
kalshi US nominal GDP growth in 2033 — Above 1.0% 0.820 0.920 87% 2034-01-28 —
kalshi US nominal GDP growth in 2033 — Above 2.0% 0.720 0.820 77% 2034-01-28 —
kalshi US nominal GDP growth in 2033 — Above 3.0% 0.590 0.690 64% 2034-01-28 —
kalshi US nominal GDP growth in 2033 — Above 4.0% 0.470 0.570 52% 2034-01-28 —
kalshi US nominal GDP growth in 2033 — Above 5.0% 0.340 0.440 39% 2034-01-28 —
kalshi US nominal GDP growth in 2033 — Above 6.0% 0.220 0.320 27% 2034-01-28 —

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.