polyrag

US nominal GDP growth in 2033 — Above 1.5%

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $0 traded · market at 83%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi US nominal GDP growth in 2033 — Above 1.5% 0.780 0.880 83% 2034-01-28 —
kalshi US nominal GDP growth in 2033 — Above 5.5% 0.280 0.380 33% 2034-01-28 —

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.