US nominal GDP growth in 2034 — Above 5.0%
kalshi · 4 contracts · 1 deadline · $13 traded · market at 41%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | US nominal GDP growth in 2034 — Above 5.0% | 0.360 | 0.460 | 41% | 2035-01-28 | $5 |
| kalshi | US nominal GDP growth in 2034 — Above 5.5% | 0.300 | 0.400 | 35% | 2035-01-28 | $4 |
| kalshi | US nominal GDP growth in 2034 — Above 0.5% | 0.860 | 0.960 | 91% | 2035-01-28 | $2 |
| kalshi | US nominal GDP growth in 2034 — Above 0.0% | 0.910 | 0.990 | 95% | 2035-01-28 | $2 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.