US nominal GDP growth in 2036 — Above 5.5%
kalshi · 7 contracts · 1 deadline · $126 traded · market at 36%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | US nominal GDP growth in 2036 — Above 5.5% | 0.320 | 0.410 | 36% | 2037-01-28 | $112 |
| kalshi | US nominal GDP growth in 2036 — Above 1.5% | 0.750 | 0.850 | 80% | 2037-01-28 | $8 |
| kalshi | US nominal GDP growth in 2036 — Above 2.5% | 0.640 | 0.740 | 69% | 2037-01-28 | $4 |
| kalshi | US nominal GDP growth in 2036 — Above 4.5% | 0.460 | 0.520 | 49% | 2037-01-28 | $1 |
| kalshi | US nominal GDP growth in 2036 — Above 3.5% | 0.530 | 0.630 | 58% | 2037-01-28 | $0 |
| kalshi | US nominal GDP growth in 2036 — Above 5.0% | 0.360 | 0.460 | 41% | 2037-01-28 | $0 |
| kalshi | US nominal GDP growth in 2036 — Above 0.5% | 0.850 | 0.950 | 90% | 2037-01-28 | $0 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.