US real GDP growth in 2026? — 2.1% to 2.5%
kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $16.9k traded · market at 41%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2026? — 2.1% to 2.5% | 0.389 | 0.415 | 40% | 2027-02-28 | $15.7k |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2026? — 1.1% to 1.5% | 0.030 | 0.059 | 4.5% | 2027-02-28 | $1.2k |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2026? — 5.1% to 5.5% | — | 0.004 | 0.1% | 2027-02-28 | $10 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Economic Analysis — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product GDP, PCE — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- price move 1d ago +0.066
- volume spike 1d ago