US real GDP growth in 2026? — 3.1% to 3.5%
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2.1k traded · market at 2.9%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2026? — 3.1% to 3.5% | 0.010 | 0.049 | 2.9% | 2027-02-28 | $2.1k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Economic Analysis — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product GDP, PCE — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.