polyrag

US real GDP growth in 2028? — 0.1% to 0.5%

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $77 traded · market at 8.5%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi US real GDP growth in 2028? — 0.1% to 0.5% 0.080 0.090 8.5% 2029-02-28 $77

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.