polyrag

US real GDP growth in 2028? — 6.1% or Above

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $447 traded · market at 7.0%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi US real GDP growth in 2028? — 6.1% or Above 0.050 0.090 7.0% 2029-02-28 $447

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.