US real GDP growth in 2029? — 2.1% to 2.5%
kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $1.3k traded · market at 17%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2029? — 2.1% to 2.5% | 0.150 | 0.190 | 17% | 2030-02-28 | $989 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2029? — 5.1% to 5.5% | 0.010 | 0.030 | 2.0% | 2030-02-28 | $297 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2029? — 1.1% to 1.5% | 0.050 | 0.080 | 6.5% | 2030-02-28 | $2 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Economic Analysis — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product GDP, PCE — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.