US real GDP growth in 2030? — 1.1% to 1.5%
kalshi · 6 contracts · 1 deadline · $87 traded · market at 7.0%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2030? — 1.1% to 1.5% | 0.050 | 0.090 | 7.0% | 2031-02-28 | $45 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2030? — 2.1% to 2.5% | 0.110 | 0.150 | 13% | 2031-02-28 | $30 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2030? — 0.1% to 0.5% | 0.040 | 0.080 | 6.0% | 2031-02-28 | $6 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2030? — 3.1% to 3.5% | 0.050 | 0.110 | 8.0% | 2031-02-28 | $3 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2030? — 5.1% to 5.5% | — | 0.010 | 1.0% | 2031-02-28 | $1 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2030? — 4.1% to 4.5% | 0.040 | 0.090 | 6.5% | 2031-02-28 | $1 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Economic Analysis — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product GDP, PCE — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.