polyrag

US real GDP growth in 2032? — 0.0% or Below

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $478 traded · market at 2.5%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi US real GDP growth in 2032? — 0.0% or Below 0.010 0.040 2.5% 2033-02-28 $478

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.