polyrag

US real GDP growth in 2033? — 0.0% or Below

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $898 traded · market at 7.0%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi US real GDP growth in 2033? — 0.0% or Below 0.060 0.080 7.0% 2034-02-28 $898

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.