US real GDP growth in 2034? — 2.1% to 2.5%
kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $405 traded · market at 11%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2034? — 2.1% to 2.5% | 0.070 | 0.150 | 11% | 2035-02-28 | $201 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2034? — 1.1% to 1.5% | 0.040 | 0.120 | 8.0% | 2035-02-28 | $148 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2034? — 5.1% to 5.5% | 0.010 | 0.040 | 2.5% | 2035-02-28 | $56 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Economic Analysis — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product GDP, PCE — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.