US real GDP growth in 2036? — 1.6% to 2.0%
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $2.4k traded · market at 23%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2036? — 1.6% to 2.0% | 0.180 | 0.280 | 23% | 2037-12-31 | $2.2k |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2036? — 0.6% to 1.0% | 0.020 | 0.030 | 2.5% | 2037-12-31 | $170 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Economic Analysis — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product GDP, PCE — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.