US real GDP growth in 2036? — 2.1% to 2.5%
kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $2.4k traded · market at 18%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2036? — 2.1% to 2.5% | 0.150 | 0.210 | 18% | 2037-12-31 | $2.1k |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2036? — 1.1% to 1.5% | 0.030 | 0.050 | 4.0% | 2037-12-31 | $272 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in 2036? — 5.1% to 5.5% | — | 0.020 | 1.0% | 2037-12-31 | $102 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Economic Analysis — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product GDP, PCE — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.