polyrag

US real GDP growth in 2036? — 6.1% or Above

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $142 traded · market at 2.0%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi US real GDP growth in 2036? — 6.1% or Above 0.010 0.030 2.0% 2037-12-31 $142

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.