US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? — Above 0.0%
kalshi · 5 contracts · 1 deadline · $1.5k traded · market at 89%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? — Above 0.0% | 0.850 | 0.930 | 89% | 2027-07-29 | $609 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? — Above 0.5% | 0.770 | 0.860 | 82% | 2027-07-29 | $385 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? — Above 2.0% | 0.470 | 0.550 | 51% | 2027-07-29 | $302 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? — Above 1.0% | 0.680 | 0.770 | 72% | 2027-07-29 | $173 |
| kalshi | US real GDP growth in Q2 2027? — Above 3.0% | 0.220 | 0.310 | 26% | 2027-07-29 | $80 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Economic Analysis — https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product GDP, PCE — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.