polyrag

UT-01 House winner? — Riley Owen

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $122 traded · market at 1.8%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi UT-01 House winner? — Riley Owen 0.011 0.024 1.8% 2027-11-03 $122

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.