polyrag

Vermont Governor Winner? (2028) — Democratic

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2.5k traded · market at 44%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Vermont Governor Winner? (2028) — Democratic 0.410 0.470 44% 2029-11-07 $2.5k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.