Vermont Governor Winner? (2028) — Republican
kalshi polymarket · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $33.7k traded · market at 88%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | 0.880 | 0.890 | 88% | expected | $31.8k |
| kalshi | Vermont Governor Winner? (2028) — Republican | 0.520 | 0.560 | 54% | 2029-11-07 | $1.9k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- US State Governments — https://www.usa.gov/state-governments