polyrag

WA-03 House winner? — John Braun

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $10.9k traded · market at 9.8%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi WA-03 House winner? — John Braun 0.097 0.098 9.8% 2027-11-03 $10.9k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.