polyrag

What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU? — Greece

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $114 traded · market at 4.5%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU? — Greece 0.010 0.080 4.5% 2030-01-01 $114

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

Recent activity