When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Jan 2027
kalshi · 5 contracts · 3 deadlines · $6.3k traded · market at 67%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Jan 2027 | 0.650 | 0.700 | 68% | 2027-01-02 | $4.2k |
| kalshi | When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Dec 2026 | 0.510 | 0.560 | 54% | 2026-12-02 | $1.6k |
| kalshi | When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Nov 2026 | 0.200 | 0.220 | 21% | 2026-11-02 | $439 |
| kalshi | When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Oct 2026 | — | — | 2.0% | 2026-10-02 | $98 |
| kalshi | When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Sep 2026 | — | — | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 | $88 |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com
- White House — https://whitehouse.gov/
- New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com/
- Axios — https://www.axios.com
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/
- Politico — https://www.politico.com
- Associated Press — https://apnews.com
Recent activity
- price move 1d ago -0.065
- price move 2d ago +0.065