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When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Before 1AM Nov 4

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $779 traded · market at 25%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Before 1AM Nov 4 0.320 0.340 33% 2026-11-04 $779

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

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