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When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Before Nov 6

kalshi · 5 contracts · 5 deadlines · $7.4k traded · market at 89%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Before Nov 11 0.870 0.910 89% 2026-11-11 $4.1k
kalshi When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Before Nov 6 0.800 0.840 82% 2026-11-06 $2.5k
kalshi When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Before Nov 4 0.180 0.240 21% 2026-11-04 $601
kalshi When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Before Nov 14 0.920 0.970 94% 2026-11-14 $190
kalshi When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Before Jan 1 0.930 0.990 96% 2027-01-01 —

Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

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