When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? — Before Nov 5
kalshi · 7 contracts · 7 deadlines · $422 traded · market at 90%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? — Before Nov 5 | 0.870 | 0.940 | 90% | 2026-11-05 | $194 |
| kalshi | When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? — Before Nov 4 | 0.370 | 0.450 | 41% | 2026-11-04 | $138 |
| kalshi | When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? — Before Nov 14 | 0.880 | 0.910 | 90% | 2026-11-14 | $90 |
| kalshi | When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? — Before Nov 7 | 0.880 | 0.960 | 92% | 2026-11-07 | — |
| kalshi | When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? — Before Nov 19 | 0.900 | 0.980 | 94% | 2026-11-19 | — |
| kalshi | When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? — Before Dec 3 | 0.910 | 0.990 | 95% | 2026-12-03 | — |
| kalshi | When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? — Before Jan 5 | 0.920 | 0.990 | 96% | 2027-01-05 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.