When will Big Bend border construction resume? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · 5 contracts · 3 deadlines · $939 traded · market at 14%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | When will Big Bend border construction resume? — Before Jan 1, 2027 | 0.100 | 0.180 | 14% | 2027-01-01 | $704 |
| kalshi | When will Big Bend border construction resume? — Before Sep 8, 2026 | — | — | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 | $400 |
| kalshi | When will Big Bend border construction resume? — Before Dec 1, 2026 | 0.040 | 0.120 | 8.0% | 2026-12-01 | $150 |
| kalshi | When will Big Bend border construction resume? — Before Nov 1, 2026 | 0.010 | 0.050 | 3.0% | 2026-11-01 | $85 |
| kalshi | When will Big Bend border construction resume? — Before Oct 1, 2026 | — | — | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 | $20 |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- CBC — https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canad
- Semafor — https://semafor.com
- South China Morning Post — https://kalshi.com/
- BBC — https://www.bbc.co.uk
- The Information — https://www.theinformation.com
- MSNBC — https://www.msnbc.com/
- ABC — https://abcnews.go.com/
- the New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com
- Bloomberg News — https://www.bloomberg.com/news
- The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
- NBC — https://www.nbcnews.com/
- Axios — https://www.axios.com
- The Guardian — https://www.theguardian.com
- ABC News Australia — https://kalshi.com/
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com
- Politico — https://www.politico.com
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
- CBS — https://www.cbsnews.com/
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com