When will Canada announce a snap election? — Before Jul 1, 2028

kalshi · 4 contracts · 4 deadlines · $792 traded · market at 2.0%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

source	contract	bid	ask	says	closes	traded
kalshi	When will Canada announce a snap election? — Before Jul 1, 2028	0.340	0.410	38%	2028-07-01	$701
kalshi	When will Canada announce a snap election? — Before Jan 1, 2027	0.010	0.030	2.0%	2027-01-01	$91
kalshi	When will Canada announce a snap election? — Before Jul 1, 2027	0.140	0.210	18%	2027-07-01	$0
kalshi	When will Canada announce a snap election? — Before Jan 1, 2028	0.220	0.300	26%	2028-01-01	—

Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
Semafor — https://semafor.com
The Information — https://www.theinformation.com
The Guardian — https://www.theguardian.com/
The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
BBC — https://www.bbc.com/sport/rugby-union/top-14/scores-fixtures
ABC — https://abcnews.go.com/
CBS — https://www.cbsnews.com/
the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
the New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com
Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com
CNN — https://www.cnn.com
Financial Times — https://www.ft.com
Axios — https://www.axios.com
Politico — https://www.politico.com
MSNBC — https://www.msnbc.com
Reuters — https://www.reuters.com

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