When will Canada lower tariffs on the US? — Before Dec 1, 2026
kalshi · 5 contracts · 4 deadlines · $364 traded · market at 41%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | When will Canada lower tariffs on the US? — Before Dec 1, 2026 | 0.370 | 0.460 | 42% | 2026-12-01 | $150 |
| kalshi | When will Canada lower tariffs on the US? — Before Jan 1, 2027 | 0.500 | 0.580 | 54% | 2027-01-01 | $113 |
| kalshi | When will Canada lower tariffs on the US? — Before Nov 1, 2026 | 0.220 | 0.310 | 26% | 2026-11-01 | $102 |
| kalshi | When will Canada lower tariffs on the US? — Before Oct 1, 2026 | — | — | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 | $20 |
| kalshi | When will Canada lower tariffs on the US? — Before Apr 1, 2027 | 0.020 | 0.990 | 50% | 2027-04-01 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Prime Minister of Canada — https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news
Recent activity
- price move 1d ago -0.155
- price move 1d ago -0.120
- price move 1d ago +0.155
- price move 1d ago +0.120