polyrag

When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA? — Before Aug 1, 2027

kalshi · 5 contracts · 5 deadlines · $6.5k traded · market at 35%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA? — Before Aug 1, 2 0.330 0.380 36% 2027-08-01 $2.7k
kalshi When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA? — Before Apr 1, 2 0.320 0.390 36% 2027-04-01 $1.6k
kalshi When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA? — Before Jan 1, 2 0.360 0.400 38% 2027-01-01 $1.3k
kalshi When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA? — Before Feb 1, 2 0.340 0.400 37% 2028-02-01 $470
kalshi When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA? — Before Dec 1, 2 0.070 0.110 9.0% 2026-12-01 $424

Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

Recent activity