When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy? — Before Mar 1, 2027
kalshi · 5 contracts · 3 deadlines · $440 traded · market at 25%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy? — Before Oct 3, 2026 | — | — | 68% | 2026-10-03 | $1.0k |
| kalshi | When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy? — Before Dec 19, 2026 | 0.210 | 0.290 | 25% | 2026-12-19 | $265 |
| kalshi | When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy? — Before Nov 21, 2026 | 0.030 | 0.090 | 6.0% | 2026-11-21 | $174 |
| kalshi | When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy? — Before Sep 25, 2026 | — | — | 0% | 2026-09-25 | — |
| kalshi | When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy? — Before Mar 1, 2027 | 0.370 | 0.420 | 40% | 2027-03-01 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- U.S. Senate — https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate