When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $498 traded · market at 6.0%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney? — Before Jan 1, 2027 | 0.020 | 0.100 | 6.0% | 2027-01-01 | $498 |
| kalshi | When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney? — Before Oct 1, 2026 | — | — | 4.0% | 2026-10-01 | $128 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- U.S. Senate — https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate