When will the next US recession start? — Q3 2025
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $83 traded · market at 1.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | When will the next US recession start? — Q3 2025 | 0.001 | 0.028 | 1.5% | 2026-12-31 | $83 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.