When will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · 3 contracts · 3 deadlines · $0 traded
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | When will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada? — Before Jan 1, 2027 | 0.020 | 0.990 | 50% | 2027-01-01 | — |
| kalshi | When will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada? — Before Apr 1, 2027 | 0.020 | 0.990 | 50% | 2027-04-01 | — |
| kalshi | When will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada? — Before Jul 1, 2027 | 0.020 | 0.990 | 50% | 2027-07-01 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- White House — https://whitehouse.gov/
- Federal Register — https://www.federalregister.gov/