When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · 5 contracts · 4 deadlines · $129 traded · market at 52%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada? — Before Oct 1, 2026 | — | — | 2.0% | 2026-10-01 | $76 |
| kalshi | When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada? — Before Jan 1, 2027 | 0.470 | 0.570 | 52% | 2027-01-01 | $56 |
| kalshi | When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada? — Before Nov 1, 2026 | 0.230 | 0.300 | 26% | 2026-11-01 | $52 |
| kalshi | When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada? — Before Dec 1, 2026 | 0.350 | 0.450 | 40% | 2026-12-01 | $21 |
| kalshi | When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada? — Before Apr 1, 2027 | 0.470 | — | 0% | 2027-04-01 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Donald Trump — https://kalshi.com/
- the White House — https://kalshi.com/
Recent activity
- book opened 4h ago