When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · 3 contracts · 2 deadlines · $127 traded · market at 22%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission? — Before J | 0.190 | 0.260 | 22% | 2027-01-01 | $127 |
| kalshi | When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission? — Before O | — | — | 3.0% | 2026-10-01 | $16 |
| kalshi | When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission? — Before J | 0.430 | 0.520 | 48% | 2027-07-01 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Library of Congress — https://www.congress.gov/
- the President of the United States — https://www.whitehouse.gov
Recent activity
- price move 1d ago -0.195
- price move 1d ago +0.195